Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001320 0.001367 0.001415 0.001468 0.001525 0.001584 0.001650
2025-08-10 0.001244 0.001313 0.001387 0.001470 0.001563 0.001665 0.001784
2025-08-17 0.001179 0.001262 0.001352 0.001459 0.001582 0.001720 0.001890
2025-08-24 0.001124 0.001217 0.001320 0.001444 0.001591 0.001762 0.001980
2025-08-31 0.001101 0.001205 0.001322 0.001466 0.001643 0.001855 0.002136
2025-09-07 0.001072 0.001183 0.001311 0.001471 0.001672 0.001920 0.002261
2025-09-14 0.001038 0.001153 0.001287 0.001458 0.001676 0.001952 0.002343
2025-09-21 0.001004 0.001122 0.001260 0.001439 0.001671 0.001971 0.002408
2025-09-28 0.000978 0.001098 0.001241 0.001428 0.001674 0.002000 0.002487
2025-10-05 0.000937 0.001055 0.001197 0.001383 0.001631 0.001961 0.002465
2025-10-12 0.000916 0.001035 0.001180 0.001372 0.001632 0.001984 0.002533
2025-10-19 0.000902 0.001025 0.001174 0.001376 0.001651 0.002033 0.002647
2025-10-26 0.000883 0.001007 0.001159 0.001366 0.001653 0.002058 0.002726
2025-11-02 0.000873 0.001000 0.001158 0.001376 0.001682 0.002124 0.002879
2025-11-09 0.000856 0.000985 0.001145 0.001369 0.001687 0.002155 0.002976
2025-11-16 0.000839 0.000967 0.001129 0.001357 0.001684 0.002173 0.003051
2025-11-23 0.000835 0.000968 0.001137 0.001377 0.001730 0.002269 0.003281
2025-11-30 0.000826 0.000961 0.001134 0.001382 0.001751 0.002329 0.003449
2025-12-07 0.000811 0.000946 0.001119 0.001370 0.001747 0.002345 0.003534
2025-12-14 0.000795 0.000929 0.001102 0.001354 0.001735 0.002347 0.003590
2025-12-21 0.000782 0.000916 0.001089 0.001344 0.001732 0.002365 0.003680
2025-12-28 0.000758 0.000888 0.001057 0.001303 0.001681 0.002295 0.003574
2026-01-04 0.000746 0.000876 0.001045 0.001294 0.001677 0.002309 0.003653